Energy
O. E. Olabode; I. K. Okakwu; D. O. Akinyele; T. O. Ajewole; S. Oyelami; O. V. Olisa
Abstract
The impact of solar radiation and ambient temperature on solar PV energy yield and its corresponding economic implication was investigated. The electrical load assessment was done by physical inspection through periodic visits to study location. Five different scenarios were investigated for two locations ...
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The impact of solar radiation and ambient temperature on solar PV energy yield and its corresponding economic implication was investigated. The electrical load assessment was done by physical inspection through periodic visits to study location. Five different scenarios were investigated for two locations - Ogun and Bayelsa States: Case I considers the PV performance based on the locations’ historical solar radiation and temperature data, Case II considers 30 % increase in the solar radiation data while the ambient temperature data remains fixed, Case III focuses on when solar radiation data is decreased by 30 % while the ambient temperature data remains constant, Case IV considers the solar radiation data remains constant while the temperature values are increased by 30 %, and Case V examined the same solar radiation values with temperature data values being decreased by 30 %. The HOMER pro was used as the implementation tool, Electrical energy yield, Unmet electric load, Net present cost, Levelized cost, and Operating cost for Cases I, II, III, IV, and V in Ota, Ogun State were as follows: 28,659 kWh/y, 4.71kWh/y, $13,537, $0.166, 271.43kWh/y; 37,260 kWh/y, 1.63kWh/y, $12,417, $0.152, 290.43kWh/y; 20,058kWh/y, 3.22kWh/y, $15,663, $0.192, 293.14kWh/y; 28,659kWh/y, 4.71kWh/y, $13,537, $0.166, 271.43kWh/y; and 28,659kWh/y, 4.61kWh/y, $13,437, $0.156, 261.43kWh/y, respectively while similar trend was observed for Otuasega in Bayelsa State. The results of the analysis showed that the optimal performance of the PV module occurred at a higher solar radiation and a lower ambient temperature.
F. O. Aweda; T. K. Samson
Abstract
Solar radiation is an important parameter in the study of electricity and/or thermal system installation. Direct monthly irradiance data measurements of the earth’s horizontal surface irradiance for the year 1985 to 2019 for nine stations (Sokoto, Birnin Kebbi, Maiduguri, Ilorin, Calabar, Port-Harcourt, ...
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Solar radiation is an important parameter in the study of electricity and/or thermal system installation. Direct monthly irradiance data measurements of the earth’s horizontal surface irradiance for the year 1985 to 2019 for nine stations (Sokoto, Birnin Kebbi, Maiduguri, Ilorin, Calabar, Port-Harcourt, Enugu, Iwo, and Ikeja) were collected from the achieve of HelioClim satellite website. The stationarity of the series was determined using the time plot of the irradiance data between the periods under study but the formal test of stationarity was carried out using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test with a p-value less than 0.05 signifying stationarity. Different autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models were fitted to the irradiance data for each of the selected stations. The results revealed that Sokoto, Maiduguri, and Kebbi have their maximum solar irradiance at about and their minimum at about , while Ilorin has its maximum solar irradiance at about and its minimum solar irradiance at about . Ikeja, Iwo and Port-Harcourt, Calabar and Enugu have their maximum solar irradiance and their minimum solar irradiance at about . It is therefore concluded that for Kebbi, Iwo and Maiduguri, the best model was ARIMA (3,0,3), for Calabar and Sokoto, it was ARIMA (2,0,2) while for other locations like Enugu, Ikeja, Ilorin and Port Harcourt, ARIMA (2,0,3) was the best model for forecasting irradiance in these study areas. The forecasted values of irradiance between January till December 2020 with its corresponding 95% confidence levels indicate good prediction of solar irradiance for future occurrence.
